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Weight Loss News » July 2006


Scoring Weight Loss Surgery Risks

July 03, 2006


Duke University researchers have developed a new scoring system that they believe can help guide patient decisions regarding gastric bypass surgery.

The five-point scale includes factors that may increase the risk someone will die following the procedure.

The scale was based on a study of gastric bypass outcomes collected from 2,075 patients who had the procedure at Virginia Commonwealth University between 1995 and 2004. Thirty-one patients died within three months of the operation, for a mortality rate of 1.5 percent. The analysis linked a higher risk of death to:

  • A body mass index over 50. (Normal BMI is 18.5-25)
  • Gender. The authors note men are at higher risk for a host of medical problems including high blood pressure, diabetes, and metabolic disorder, which could impact survival rates
  • High blood pressure
  • Risk factors for a pulmonary embolism (blood clot to the lungs)
  • Advanced age. People over age 45 are known to have a higher mortality rate following the surgery


Each factor in the scale is worth one point. Three deaths were noted among the 957 patients scoring between 0-1, for a mortality rate of 0.31 percent. No deaths were recorded among the 356 scoring 0. Among the 999 patients scoring between 2-3, there were 19 deaths, for a mortality rate of 1.91 percent. Among the 119 patients scoring between four and five, there were nine deaths, for a mortality rate of 7.56 percent.


Gastric bypass surgery may not be a good idea. "Many people see gastric bypass surgery as an option to use only when all other approaches to weight loss have failed," says study author Eric DeMaria, M.D.


SOURCE: Presented at the American Society


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